POSTED BY:
Simon Rowell
ON:
22 Feb 2008To understand how to maximise the value of intellectual property rights, it is first necessary to understand the factors that affect the value of those rights.
IP Valuation Methodologies
There are numerous valuation methodologies which can be used to
value intellectual property. No one methodology is appropriate in
all circumstances.
The selection of an appropriate methodology will be depend upon
the circumstances surrounding the valuation, including the type of
IP being valued, the purpose of the valuation, and the availability
of data.
In general, a primary methodology will be selected and used to
value the intangible asset. The methodology selected will depend on
the specific circumstances surrounding the transaction. Alternative
methodologies will also be used to test the accuracy of the value
obtained using the primary methodology. This will allow the valuer
to assess the reliability of the value indicated by the preferred
valuation methodology whilst recognising that all valuation
methodologies have inherent limitations.
Three basic theories of valuation are used for valuing
intellectual property: cost, market and income approaches.
Cost-based
In essence, the value of the intellectual property is the cost
to replace or recreate that intellectual property. This method
looks at the historical cost incurred to develop and create the
intellectual property. A purchaser or licensee can avoid these
costs by purchasing or licensing the intellectual property from the
owner.
The relevant costs may include research and development (labour,
materials and overheads), testing and regulatory approval costs, IP
protection costs, equipment and other capital investments, a profit
margin based on the usual profit the developer would expect to make
on material, labour and overhead costs, plus a component for
entrepreneurial incentive representing the amount of economic
benefit required to motivate the developer to enter into the
development process. The entrepreneurial incentive component is
essentially a measure of the opportunity cost of undertaking the
development in terms of diverted resources. Once the components of
cost have been determined, it is necessary to adjust for
obsolescence. The types of obsolescence relevant to intangible
assets include functional obsolescence (inability to perform the
function for which it was originally designed), technological
obsolescence (improvements in competitive technologies) and
economic obsolescence (external factors that prevent the technology
from earning a fair rate of return over its useful life).
There are many inherent problems with the cost approach. The
most significant is that it fails to reflect the earnings potential
of the intellectual property. The value of intellectual property is
derived from its earning potential, and not its cost. The cost
approach assumes that the fair value of the asset will be the same
as its cost, and that there is a direct relationship between cost
and prospective profits. However, cost does not necessarily equate
to value. Clearly there is potential for a high valuation to be
placed on less successful assets on which high levels of
expenditure have been directed and vice versa.
If the intellectual property offers significant economic
advantage in an active market, the use of the cost method is likely
to understate its value. If, on the other hand, development has
been inefficient or lengthy, the use of the cost method might
overstate its value. Also, for many identifiable intangible assets,
it may not be possible to develop a replacement, or it may not be
possible to estimate the replacement cost.
In its favour, the cost approach is useful as a readily
calculated bottom-line valuation. Market-based
Using the market approach, the value of the intellectual
property is determined by the arm's length price paid in comparable
transactions. This is based on the theory that a licensee or
purchaser will not be willing to pay more than the amount others
have paid for similar intellectual property.
The major requirements of this approach are that there is an
active public market in which there is an exchange of comparable
assets, together with good access to information regarding how the
assets were exchanged (such as price and surrounding
circumstances). Needless to say, there is often very little
information in this regard available in the public domain. The
transactions will also need to have been conducted at arm's length.
The value of many types of intellectual property stems from the
fact that the intellectual property is unique. A patent, for
example, is a unique asset and consequently comparable transactions
may not be available.
The market approach is often used to establish "ball park"
values, especially for running royalties. The difficulty with this
approach is that it is often very difficult to locate a suitable
"comparable" transaction. It can be difficult to compare deals with
multiple forms of compensation, such as equity, milestone payments,
provision of associated goods/services and running royalties.
However, the method is attractive as it credible, and
objective.
Income-based
The income approach measures the cash flow associated with
ownership of the intellectual property. The value of the
intellectual property is the net present value of the expected
future income streams that the intellectual property is likely to
generate. The parameters that determine the value include the size
of the income stream, the duration of the income stream, and the
risk associated with realisation of the income.
There are numerous variations of the income approach. One common
method to value this cash flow is the royalty savings approach. The
royalty savings is the amount that a company would be willing to
pay to use the intellectual property. A royalty rate is used to
measure the amount that would be paid for the use of the
intellectual property. The value of the intellectual property is
the present value of the royalty payments saved through
ownership.
The inherent difficulty with the income approach is that poor
assumptions relating to the parameters in the net present value
calculation will lead to meaningless results. The method requires
forecasts of income from the IP, duration of that income stream and
an estimation of a discount factor to represent the degree of risk
associated with the income stream. Determining the discount factor
is an important part of the income approach, and even small
variations in the discount rate can result in large differences in
the final value.
At the most basic level, the discount factor must take into
account the fact that $1 in the hand today is worth more than $1 at
some point in the future (due to inflation and economic risk). The
rate must reflect the risk associated with the investment in the
technology. Analysts equate the discount rate to the cost of
capital appropriate for an investment in the subject
intangible.
Whether the technology is being valued as part of a going
concern or as a discrete economic unit will also impact on the size
of the discount rate. The discount rate used for valuing the
technology as part of a going concern will be less than the
discount rate used for valuing the technology as a discrete
economic unit in an exchange.
A common mistake made in valuing intellectual property using the
income approach is to use the total value of the income from the
business unit utilising the IP rather than the incremental income
attributable to the IP itself. Falling into this mistake means the
valuer has failed to account for the complimentary assets that have
contributed to generation of the income, such as tangible assets,
staff know-how, marketing assets and such like. In effect, the
valuer has valued the entire business unit, rather than any
particular piece of IP within that unit.
Valuation issues
Considerable business judgement is necessary in any valuation
approach. This judgement must be based on the analyst's specific
understanding of the IP to be valued, the individual transaction,
and the valuation process, and a general understanding of the
business within which the transaction is occurring.
The value of an intangible asset should not be evaluated in the
abstract. It must be assessed within the context of its use. Some
of these factors include:
- What exactly is the intellectual property, and how does the
protection it affords add value to the business?
- What is the useful economic life of the intellectual property
(rather than say its legal life)?
- What is the strength of the intellectual property? Is the
intellectual property completely new, or a modification of existing
intellectual property? How broad are the patent claims for
example?
- What is the likelihood of technological change, and what are
the capital requirements for such change?
- Are there alternative technologies and/or competitive
pressures? Are there any substitutes available and, if so, at what
cost?
- What effect will the skills and depth of management have on the
exploitation of the intellectual property?
- How will the market respond to the new technology? Will there
be a resistance to change? Will there be any regulatory
restrictions/difficulties?
- Are there any strategic factors at play that make the IP more
valuable in the hands of the acquirer?
Summary
Ultimately, intellectual property is worth what someone will pay
for it at any given point in time. As such, any valuation is merely
a negotiation tool. Understanding the underlying assumptions and
theories behind the various valuation methodologies will assist
greatly in negotiations for the sale or licensing of intellectual
property.
By Simon Rowell, Partner, James & Wells Intellectual
Property